Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.036138 0.042350 0.049201 0.057301 0.066602 0.076930 0.089252
2025-03-23 0.027457 0.035702 0.045661 0.058514 0.074592 0.093964 0.118989
2025-03-30 0.020990 0.029967 0.041726 0.058112 0.080183 0.108687 0.148051
2025-04-06 0.016028 0.024937 0.037504 0.056266 0.083252 0.120283 0.174468
2025-04-13 0.012635 0.021274 0.034307 0.055014 0.086586 0.132283 0.202593
2025-04-20 0.010993 0.019843 0.034003 0.057739 0.095780 0.153382 0.245828
2025-04-27 0.009569 0.018434 0.033416 0.059803 0.104059 0.173863 0.290212
2025-05-04 0.007831 0.016107 0.030879 0.058198 0.106103 0.184722 0.320636
2025-05-11 0.006601 0.014437 0.029154 0.057630 0.109645 0.198141 0.356264
2025-05-18 0.005459 0.012691 0.026972 0.055851 0.110730 0.207398 0.385658
2025-05-25 0.004588 0.011311 0.025235 0.054593 0.112493 0.217834 0.417853
2025-06-01 0.004008 0.010433 0.024341 0.054808 0.116958 0.233383 0.460335
2025-06-08 0.003329 0.009196 0.022523 0.052948 0.117303 0.241672 0.490965
2025-06-15 0.003078 0.008940 0.022797 0.055535 0.126873 0.268290 0.558257
2025-06-22 0.002711 0.008307 0.022109 0.055916 0.131920 0.286640 0.611445
2025-06-29 0.002297 0.007447 0.020732 0.054522 0.132989 0.297160 0.650244
2025-07-06 0.001967 0.006739 0.019596 0.053505 0.134724 0.309142 0.692958
2025-07-13 0.001853 0.006641 0.019999 0.056269 0.145319 0.340552 0.778023
2025-07-20 0.001719 0.006449 0.020120 0.058343 0.154536 0.369819 0.860972
2025-07-27 0.001468 0.005812 0.018908 0.056802 0.154965 0.379985 0.904164
2025-08-03 0.001285 0.005357 0.018121 0.056262 0.157748 0.395589 0.960357
2025-08-10 0.001093 0.004812 0.016966 0.054529 0.157315 0.403814 1.000886
2025-08-17 0.000942 0.004373 0.016044 0.053302 0.158014 0.414681 1.048177